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Tag Archive: BULL MARKET


Was going through Zerohedge and find some interesting facts the (TBTF) Too Big To Fail get Too Bigger To Fail. The top 5 banks of the world holds 97% approx $221 trillion derivative outstanding.

$220 trillion is more than enough for the world to collapse in a daisy chained failure of bilateral netting (which not even all the central banks in the world can offset).

Time and again history has repeated itself unregulated derivatives are prone to catastrophic failure. And yet, nearly four years after the crash, and nearly two years since the passage of the Dodd-Frank law, the multitrillion-dollars derivatives market is still dominated by a handful of big banks, and regulation is a slow work in progress. Unregulated derivatives are still an economic threat. That’s because derivatives have become deeply embedded in the global economy. ( an article from Ny times quoted) View full article »

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It’s not mandatory that all good investors are good writers and visa viz that all good finance writers are good investors. It’s the experience of the people who is good or bad that counts . Here again some of the best remarks from Peter Lynch :

  1. When the operas outnumber the football games three to zero, you know there is something wrong with your life.
  2. Gentleman who prefers bonds don’t know what they are missing.
  3. Never invest in any idea you can’t illustrate with a crayon.
  4. You can’t see the future through a rear view mirror
  5. There’s no point paying Yo-Yo Ma to play a radio.
  6. As long as you’re picking a fund, you might as well pick a good one.
  7. The extravagance of any corporate office is directly proportional to management’s reluctance to reward the shareholders.
  8. View full article »

On an average the Indian market has given a 19% return in the last financial year that is the 3rd highest return after Egypt & Brazil who gave the better returns. The underlying is how many made the money because the markets where volatile , ruthless and driven by crisis over the year.

Wondering whether the 20 golden rules holds true for today’s market scenario :

  1. Your investor’s edge is not something you get from Dalal/Wall Street experts. It’s something you already have. You can outperform the experts if you use your edge by investing in companies or industries you already understand.
  2. Over the past 3 decades, the stock market has come to be dominated by a herd of professional investors. Contrary to popular belief, this makes it easier for the amateur investor. You can beat the market by ignoring the herd.
  3. Often there is no correlation b/w success of a company’s operations and the success of its stock over a few months or even years. In the long-term there is 100% correlation b/w the success of the company and the success of the stock. This disparity is the key to making money: it pays to be patient, and to own successful companies.
  4. You have to know what you own, and why you own it. “This baby is a clinch to go up!” dosen’t count.
  5. Long shots almost always miss the mark

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Markets & The Emotions :-

Greed is good !! well that’s the tag line on the wall street but how much that is more dependent on your emotion.In the past I did some stories on it and here is great work by Edward zones on the human emotions  and market cycle..

I would like to dedicate today’s post to Rahul Dravid but the time is constraint will write for him soon :- I just don’t like  that  he is retiring, and people are talking about Sachin tendulkar! The Tragedy of his Life.  Few more thing for him If Sachin Tendulkar was the Best thing to happen to Indian Cricket :Rahul Dravid was the Best thing to happen to Sachin tendulkar. ( I think that describes all for him)

The post is  for my juniors, who wanted to have few jargon’s simplifications here you go :-

LEASE -BACK  :  Its an arrangement under which a company, in order to raise cash, sells a piece of equipment, ‘ land, or building on condition. that the buyer will lease it back to the seller for an agreed rental for a fixed term.

LEVERAGED BUYOUT : Taking over a company, using borrowed funds.

LEVERAGED COMPANY : If a company with borrowed funds in its capital structure. if the debt component is more than a third of the capitalization it’s called a highly leveraged company. View full article »

As MCX hit the roof top in the IPO market and subscribed 54 times on robust demand, was wondering how many of the investor bother to see that it was graded 5 star from the CRISIL. Here is a research proposal that could be worked upon on the IPO grading :-

On the 30th April 2007 SEBI decided to make grading of all IPOs mandatory. Grading makes additional information available for the investors, in the sense that it is supposedly an objective opinion of a credit rating agency arrived at after analyzing business and financial prospects, management quality and corporate governance practices etc of the issuer. Grades represent relative assessment of the fundamentals of the issue compared to other listed equity securities. Now that the IPO grading is about to complete one year, we seek to assess its impact on the primary market of equity shares.

Intuitively, we feel that grading should have direct effect on subscription statistics. Issues with grading of 3 or below should attract less subscription and issues of grading 4 or 5 should attract more subscription. It means that by and large the variability in subscriptions of different issues (i.e. if an issue gets p times subscribed, the variability in p) should rise after introduction of grading. If investors are risk avers, and if they trust grading, more monies should go to better graded issues. View full article »

Continuing where I left in my last post Face book all set to fire . As on Feb 1st the social network confirmed its plans for an Initial Public Offerings (IPO) confirming its valuations between $75 billion and $100 billion. The valuation reflect an extraordinary belief that a start-up hardly 8-year-old firm is more valuable than Boeing , the world largest airraftmaker. Are they nuts ??

$100 Billion? 100:1 PE ratio?
I like Facebook but hard to imagine an upside there.
$100B is the same value as Verizon, Cisco, Pepsi or McDonald’s.

Would like to share three things that leaped out at me from Facebook’s financial filing. They involve marketing, hypocrisy and arrogance — in other words, standard Wall Street fair.

View full article »

* Most of Facebook 800 million users are women.Its board of directors are all men

* The Biggest buzz Facebook is great.But $100 billion great?

* Facebook’s ripple effect: Zynga spikes 17%

*Getting back to the gold standard gold standard

* Foreign telecom may quit India the attractive market is not so attractive now

Elevator gossips :-

* What most people would call the greatest night of their lives, I call just another Friday.
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http://sandyyadav.comThe dark clouds are hanging over Europe, and there are rumors that Greece may Exit Euro. Yesterday Fitch the rating agency dented and downgrades Spain and Italy each by two notches, Belgium by one. Ireland affirmed at BBB+. Luck of the Irish! it was like a bomb but it was already discounted by the market  and market not surprised by Fitch downgrades Euro remained higher against Dollar even after downgrades.

But Fitch was not a news maker, it was non other than Facebook raised the curtains which is ready all set for IPO filing, here is the big estimate whether market will discount this or not.They say $100B now… it will bump up to $115B by time of IPO… then $130B on first day out….
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1) Yesterday Indian aviation and Finance minster allowed 49% FDI and today Kingfisher Air Talks to SC Lowy for Investment After Plane Order Scrapped

2) SOPA Stop Online Piracy Act, as you can view on the top right hand side even I am protesting “Stop Censorship”. Why it matters?

3) Guess what now the IMF requests $500 bn for bailout loans, IMF chairman to ask member countries for on off contributions

4) Greek seems to be in insolvent zone, ISDA will have the final say as Greek debt talks drag on

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