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Tag Archive: CORPORATE GOVERNANCE


1) Yesterday Indian aviation and Finance minster allowed 49% FDI and today Kingfisher Air Talks to SC Lowy for Investment After Plane Order Scrapped

2) SOPA Stop Online Piracy Act, as you can view on the top right hand side even I am protesting “Stop Censorship”. Why it matters?

3) Guess what now the IMF requests $500 bn for bailout loans, IMF chairman to ask member countries for on off contributions

4) Greek seems to be in insolvent zone, ISDA will have the final say as Greek debt talks drag on

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1)      Paris Pasu http://wp.me/pc3rd-f

2)      RPL METHODOLOGY TO LURE THE RETAIL INVESTOR http://wp.me/pc3rd-i

3)      HDFC all set to buy CBOP http://wp.me/pc3rd-k

4)      Typical spinoff situation http://wp.me/pc3rd-l

5)      MUTUAL FUNDS SURVEY BY BUSINESSWORLD http://wp.me/pc3rd-m

6)      INDIA : THE EMERGING GIANT a book by Arvind Panagariya’s http://wp.me/pc3rd-n

7)      Process of passing the Budget http://wp.me/pc3rd-o

8)      THE ECONOMIC SURVEY 2007-08 http://wp.me/pc3rd-p

9)      Things Which appears First to me http://wp.me/pc3rd-q

10)   ICICI overseas losses mount to $264m credit exposure…http://wp.me/pc3rd-v

11)   CRITIQUE FOR THE BUDGET 2008-09 http://wp.me/pc3rd-z

12)   WHAT TO READ IN AN OFFER DOCUMENT ?? http://wp.me/pc3rd-A

13)   Sensex down 27.5% ..just in 2 months time frame http://wp.me/pc3rd-B

14)   YET AGAIN! FED CUT RATE BY 0.75%, Mayhem in markets http://wp.me/pc3rd-C

15)   CAT Bonds and CAT Swaps http://wp.me/pc3rd-D

20 Years back our current Prime minister and then the Finance minister, explained and addressed the need of urgency to implement the economic reforms.

India was on the verge of bankruptcy on the sovereign debt, because of the high current account deficit. The fault that is directly proportional increase levels of foreign debt and steep fiscal deficit ( gap b/w government’s exp and earnings). The country’s Foreign exchange reserves were not enough to pay the debt.

The reforms proposed by Dr Singh in 1991 got India out of the mess and lead to a growth of 8% in the GDP.

As of today, the govt targeted 9% has slowed down to 6.5% for the current year ending March 2012.The reform process has all but stalled. India’s current and fiscal deficits are both high, and a recent government bill to provide food security to India’s masses, will likely worsen India’s financial burden.

Current Account Deficit (The difference between a nation’s total exports of goods, services and transfers, and its total imports of them)

THEN: The current account deficit was estimated to be “more than 2.5% of gross domestic product in 1990-91,” said Mr. Singh in his speech. He described India’s balance of payments situation as “exceedingly difficult.”

NOW: For years after the 1991 crises, the Indian government contained the current account deficit to less than 2% of GDP. But in recent years, the deficit has ballooned to 1991-like levels, thanks partly to higher imports and more recently lower exports. For the year through March 2012, economists expect the deficit to come at around 3% of GDP

 

Fiscal Deficit (The difference between the government’s total revenue and its expenditure)

THEN: The fiscal deficit is “estimated at more than 8% of GDP in 1990-91,” said Mr. Singh in his speech, calling it “a cause for serious concern.” He said “It should be our objective to progressively reduce the fiscal deficit of the Central Government…and to reduce the current account deficit in the balance of payments.”

NOW: The fiscal deficit for the year-ended March 2012 is expected to come in at 5.5% or 6% of GDP, much higher than the government’s targeted 4.6%. The food subsidy bill will add to this burden, say economists, unless the government cuts back on its expenditure proportionately.

Inflation

Then: 12.1% the poorer section of the society where the worst sufferers of the high prices.

Now: The Reserve Bank of India has been battling 9% to 10% inflation, by increasing benchmark interest rates 13 times

No Power on earth can stop an idea whose time has come.  I suggest that the emergence of India as a major economic power in the world happens to be one such idea. Let the whole world hear it loud and clear. India as a nation wide awake, we shall prevail, we shall overcome.

Food shopping in India is not a precious affair, even in Bandra a posh suburb in Mumbai. German cars and $100 highlights are common here, but you can’t see any super markets.

Less than a tenth of India $430 billion of annual retail sales takes place in organized retail comparing to the developed world.

The govt motives are benign, facing a wobbly rupee and high inflation it wants to show it is still capable of bold action to boost the business confidence.

Liberaliasation will lower food prices by cutting out middle man and the waste.

Perhaps a third of the crop rot on road side and on ware house before any one has a chance to smother them in species wolf them with Chapattis.

The arrival of Wal-Mart (WMT) Stores Inc. and Carrefour SA (CA) would have an invigorating effect like few events in the 20 years that Singh has been modernizing India’s economy. As finance minister in the early 1990s, he introduced free-market measures that cut red tape, removed caps on steel and cement makers and allowed overseas names like Ford Motor Co. to do business locally. These changes deserve as much credit for India’s 7 percent growth as anything.

A labyrinthine distribution system involves myriad middlemen and helps inflate prices in a nation where hundreds of millions live in, or on the cusp, of extreme poverty — the $1-a-day kind. Yes, this system employs millions, but at a very high cost.

India can’t turn back the clock on where the world economy finds itself. Opening the retail industry isn’t some out-of-the- blue act of economic radicals; it has been debated for 15 years now and is an essential part of India’s growth story in the long run.

Unfortunately the decision has been hold back by the government :(

Seems lyk  Singh’s Retail Retreat a ‘Nail in the Coffin’

Anther beautiful lies from one of my favorites book Traders Guns & Money:

The management of the firms is a succession of fads during trouble times, just like the recent and ongoing crisis. The Fads become a mixture of homely common Rusk package as science and in comprehensible.

Diversification Lets do several things that we don’t know anything about badly
Sticking to the knitting or focus Lets get back to doing what we once did if any body can remember what it is and how to do it J
Decentralization Massive duplication, confusion and creation of thousand of petty empires
Matrix structure Every body reports to every body, no body knows who they work for & there is no accountability
Flat Organization Managers who can not manage now manage tens of direct reports.
Business Process reorganization A process by which cut everything that is essential, leaving only every thing that you don’t need.

 

Not to forget lot of buzz words like CRM/KPI/TQM/B2B/B2C/Transformation/best of breed/competitive advantage/reinvention/templates.

FAULT LINES BOOK REVIEW

Fault lines by Rahuram Rajan is the extraction of so many journals published him. The book paints a larger picture on the distributional issues in the income and strata of society, and the ruthless profit maximizing incentives based on financial markets.

The book focuses on the slow-moving tectonic plates in the global economy. It emphasizes on how the economic power shifted? How the countries took path to prosper their economies? Be it export lead growth that of Germany, Japan and now China or be it growth driven by FII as in the case of Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia and so on. That led to the Asian crises.

Consumption by borrowing in countries with fiscal deficits, excess savings in exporting countries that is fiscally in surplus, and growing sophistication of the financial sector. None of these movements might seem dangerous in itself, but when these plates come together and collide, the global economy can get badly shaken.

The book is one of the best thought-provoking contribution in the aftermath of the financial crisis that engulfed the US, Europe in the crisis of 2007.

Fault lines epilogue itself suggests “The crisis has resulted from confusion about the appropriate roles of the government and the market. We need to find the right balance again, and I am hopeful we will “

 In the analytical framework of Fault Lines, the crisis was not a pure accident and that more severe crises could arise in future unless the root causes are addressed sufficiently soon.

The Best part the book covers a separate chapter for India: What Lies Ahead for India, The reasons for Optimism, Impediments, Progress and India’s Place in the World.

The most awaited report for the EU stress test came on late Friday evening, and it was prodigious mere 7 banks didn’t able to pass the assessment done for 91 lenders. As if now the original report is not available in the public domain.
Few of the facts I was able to gather from the financial media are:
The committee is termed as CEBS Committee of European Banking Supervisors were 27 EU member countries, assessed the banks by looking in to scenarios under the assumption that recession culminates in a once in 20 year crisis.
Banks unable to maintain Tier 1 capital ratio of 6% by the end of 2011 most adverse scenario deemed to have failed.
The 7 banks failed under the adverse stress which assumes a 3 percentage point deviation of GDP for the EU compared to the European Commission’s forecasts over the two-year time horizon. The method of translating this scenario to loss rates is also conservative.
One of the biggest concerns for the investors is that the stress test excluded the possibility of sovereign debt default. Sovereign debt held in portfolios was distinguished from sovereign debt held to maturity. Some of the EU members already bailed out jointly by IMF and EU.
Analysts around the world already having their say that the stress test were not stringent enough and that the release of the results had fail to alleviate market concerns about the banking system’s vulnerability to the sovereign default risk.

The book is a fabulous read because of its simplicity. It’s not just for finance geeks, rather the stuff narrated by Michael lewis is easy to digest. Although I still believe Liar’s Poker was one of the best work by Michael, but the Big- short seems to me is one of the best journalism written on the sub prime crisis.

The book is more focused on the vulnerability of the sub prime crisis, how the big guns shorted the subprime market making it worse as they  provided the fuel which kept the subprime mortgage furnace burning even when the US was running out of new junk mortgages to write. The book quotes an example of a deutsche bank trader Greg Lippmann ended up making billions of dollars for his employer — not to mention a $50 million bonus for himself — by aggressively going out and finding fund managers to put on the short bets needed to keep the market ticking. 

How the Govt agencies Fannie and Freddie started accepting increasing amounts of subprime paper. Then banks started selling private-label subprime CDOs directly to investors, bypassing the GSEs; a lot of the profits in that activity came from taking the unattractive lowest-yielding tranches and insuring them with AIG.

In the process AIG was over leveraged  it was not selling Credit default swaps any more. But then it gave rise to the synthetic subprime CDOs which were bought by Greg Lippmann sold by the banks.

This was the market with almost no pricing transparency in the secondary market: because all securitization deals are unique, the only way to get a feel for the health of the market is by looking at where primary deals are pricing. Whenever anybody said that the marks being put on subprime assets by banks and hedge funds were delusional, it was easy to point to the booming market in synthetic subprime CDOs to prove them wrong. No one, of course, remarked on the irony that the synthetic subprime CDO market was only booming because John Paulson and others were providing a huge amount of demand for bearish bets.

The book is a great read it gives me a feeling of déjà-vu as I completed my Masters and there was no campus :)  

INTRODUCTION

United States dominated the foreign direct investment (FDI) after the World War II before FDI becoming a global phenomenon. FDI has grown with the cues of globalization and now it constitutes around 28 percentage of the world’s GDP. Foreign direct investment is generally defined as a company or a group of people making investment in building infrastructure or investing in a company with the motive of long term investment in another country. FDI has plays the major role in economic development of the host nation. Over the years FDI has helped the economies were they make investment to obtain a great launching pad from where further improvements could be looked upon.

FDI Defined

“Foreign direct investment is an investment of assets done by foreign origin company into the domestic equipments, organization, and company”.

This investment does not include the investment in the stock market of a nation were equity investment is done with the capital appreciation which generally leads in to the situation of ‘Hot Money”. FDI in any form as an investment pumps a lot of capital knowledge and technological advancement to the economy of a country. The latest World Investment Prospects Survey aims at estimating foreign direct investment in the coming years which was based on the responses taken on a sample of company executives of the largest transitional corporations.  In order to lure FDI the developed and developing nations of the world putting there promotional efforts, it has also been maintained at the level were countries are integrating to each other.

Many countries have lowered there standards in order to attract FDI were as on the other hand some has raised standard and welfare to attract FDI. Expansion of information and technologies, leads to improvement in the logistics and lead to allow production into more discrete phases across national barriers.

Source: International Monetary Fund.

[Data determining growth of foreign direct investment in 2000:

      FDI Outflow: $35 billion in ‘75 to $1.3 trillion in ‘00 to $653 billion in ‘03

FDI Flow (from all countries): from ‘92 to ‘02 up 292%, compared to trade up 69% and world output up 28%.

FDI Stock: $3.5 trillion by ‘97 to > $7 trillion in ‘02

In ‘02:

–        64,000 Multinational Enterprises had:

l  850,000 foreign affiliates

l  53 million employees

l  $17.7 trillion in sales

–        $8 trillions global exports ]

From the data it could easily be drawn that FDI flow growing faster than world trade and world output. Here are the few reasons why FDI are prefered over the exporting becoause in case of exporting a lot of high transportaion cost is involved and there are lot of barriers. In the same way FDI has been prefered over licensing and Franchising is that in case of licensing there need to reatin strategic control, need to protect technological know how and the capabilities of most of the firms are not suitable for licensing/franchising. They follow immediate strategic responses with following few competitors.

The Literature Search         

 

An important reason for obtaining a better understanding of the consequences which directly or indirectly impact foreign direct investment is to explicate efficient policies that will assist the development process. That’s why there need to be connection between theories, policy making and evidence. In order to build the infrastructure the quality of research done on FDI are getting stronger and stronger and stronger, but still some grey areas need to be touched upon. The most appropriate way to be used for the purpose of exploring about the FDI (Foreign Direct Investment) is through internet using online library Proquest. Since the online library could also be access from the home this allowed flexibility in exploring about the subject. In the project key words used ‘Investment’, ‘Foreign direct Investment’ and ‘Globalization’. Few of the literature reviews have chosen for the purpose of the focusing on the FDI.

Brief Review

The studies done by Haddad and Harrison (1993) on Morocco, Aitken and Harrison (1999) on Venezuela and Djankov and Hoekman (2000) on the Chez All were casted doubts on the existence of the spillovers from FDI in the developing countries, Either they failed to find the significant effort or produce the evidence of spillovers on the horizontal side the effect of the multinational corporations on domestic firms in the same sector. And the pictures was cleared in the paper of Haskell that it’s more positive in case of industrialized countries. Pereira and Slaughter (2002) gave there convincing evidence of the positives spillovers taking place in case of FDI in UK.  

Some of the macro facts in the foreign direct investment which are brought into notice by the James R Markusen are which provides FDI as an edge over the other options like exporting, licensing or franchising. The FDI has grown rapidly in the whole world more so particular in the period of 1980’s. Developed countries accounted for the outward FDI and vice- versa, as they are too the major recipient of the FDI. In a paper by Hummels and Stern (1994) reported that developed nations were the source of around 97% of direct FDI flown and the in response received 75%. There was a huge amount of foreign investment flow between two developed nations. Most of the FDI went towards production facilities and most of the output of foreign producer was sold in foreign country. It can be said that the FDI has been growing on a rapid pace and most of it in terms of horizontal investment among countries with similar per-capita incomes and similar economy. The first factor is the rate of technical progress: since the increase in technical progress through the new technology may increase the dispersion between the best-practice firm and the industry average. The other factors are competitive pressure, market growth, and ownership structure.

Some of the micro factors were also reveled in the paper it has been noticed that there is a large difference between industries in consultation with the production done by multinational companies. The companies which are bigger in size were the market value of tangible assets such as plant and machinery considered to be huge.

 

 

Comparison of Articles

While analyzing the different papers most of them are in favour of foreign direct investment and they see it as an opportunity for the FDI receiving country to grow economically on the base from of infrastructure and on the other aspects economy as a whole. The phenomenon of FDI has created a healthy competition between many countries which includes developing countries too to attract foreign investors and which justifies their actions with the productive gains which are expected to accrue to the domestic producers in the form of knowledge and advancement in technology which the FDI brought by the foreign countries.

There is evidence founded by Beata K. Smarzynska in his paper which is important for the choices of public policy. The studies reflected correlation between the production done by the domestic firm and with the presence of the foreign firms as FDI investment. The studies also revels various economic problems which were biased and were against the FDI.

The definition provided by the researchers for the industries is broad and they segregate the producer of product which was totally different. The FDI has outrageously favored over traditional way of raising funds through exporting, licensing or franchising. Some of the data from Economy watch the total amount of FDI which was made in UK has been growing over the years. The EU received 45% of the total FDI made in the year 2006. While the FDI made in the organization of economic co-operation and development were not so impressive. It has been on the down side from 2003 for these nations.

There are few disadvantages of FDI which occurs mostly in case of matters related to operation distribution, profits which are been made on the investment and the personnel. One of the major disadvantages of the FDI is that the host nation is always in convinced when the stream if FDI affects negatively. Some of the cases are Ireland, Singapore, Chile and China. It’s up to the host country to limit the impact of the FDI if it gets into the doll drum of the domestic economy. They must focus on the environmental, governance and social regulations which had been laid down by the country. Other disadvantages are when some of the secrets of a nation are revels to the world which the nation dosen’t wants to disclose.

Before concluding the remarks it has been that there have been serious repercussions as the investors who invest in the domestic country are not truly loyal and obedient in conclusive remarks to the economic policies of the country. And there have been cases where FDI has negative effects on the balance of payment of the country. Generally this has led to manipulation of the economic policies and investors tried to take advantages of the loop holes. But even after these adverse scenarios foreign direct investment has proved to be a major development mechanism in the countries. It has lead to economic changes and the speed of developing the world has been accelerated by these FDIs.

 

 

Conclusion

 

The frame work presented in the paper might look hazy .Although it has been captured at macro and micro level , In the micro level the FDI firms offers both ownership and internalization advantages. In fact much can be explored because there are lost of gray areas which could be touched upon. Case studies focusing on FDI pertaining to one company or a sample could be helping to understand exactly what services were being offered by the company which is making direct investment in to the domestic market of the domestic company.  More works could be done on the side of vertical investment were production process is been divided into phases. This type of direct investment has been growing in many developing economies liberalizing there trade and investment laws. An attention could be paid on the Joint Ventures.

SOURCES

  • Aitken, Brian J. and Ann E. Harrison 1999 “Do Domestic Firms Benefit from Direct Foreign Investment? Evidence from Venezuela, “American Economic Review”. 89(3): 605-618
  • Haddad, Mona and Ann Harrison 1993 “Are there positive spillovers from direct foreign investment? Evidence from panel data for Morocco,“Journal of Development Economics”, 42: 51-74.
  • Haskel, Jonathan E., Sonia C. Pereira and Matthew J. Slaughter. 2002. “Does Inward ForeignDirect Investment Boost the Productivity of Domestic Firms?” NBER Working Paper 8724
  • James R. MArkusen , 1995“The boundries of Mulinational Enterprises and theory of International trade” Journal of Economic Perspectives Vol 9
  •  Beata K. Smarzynska, “Does Foreign Direct Investment Increase the Productivity of Domestic Firms? In Search of Spillovers through Backward Linkages”
  •  Djankov, Simeon and Bernard Hoekman. 2000. “Foreign Investment and Productivity Growth in Czech Enterprises,” World Bank Economic Review, 14(1): 49-64.

 

GALLEON one of the America’s leading hedge fund’s co founder Raj Rajaratnam found guilty of insider trading. Raj is one of the wealthiest men at Wall Street. More than $25 million profit generated through insider trading by Galleon.

There is a series of people from leading business houses including an IT firm, rating agency and Investment banks who were involved with Raj Rajaratnam.

The Hedge fund size is more than $7million dollar and it did insider trading in a list of IT firms including Google, Intel etc, before the IT bubble burst in 2001.

There are several questions raised out of this case. Do hedge funds need to be regulated? If yes! than they will come under constraints.  The case should cause financial professionals considering insider trades in the future to wonder whether law enforcement is listening.

But the laws in our country are enforceable to handle cases like this ?

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