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Tag Archive: SOVEREIGN DEBT


I do not know why but somebody wanted me to define some basics on Yield spreads, that whether Yield spreads can judge the risk environment in an economy ?

Yield spreads are good tools to judge the risk environment in an economy a lower yield spread means that the issuer of debt is in a situation to demand loans at a lower spread above the yield of government security which in turn shows the presence of ample liquidity.

As far as economic growth is concerned a lower yield spread indicates greater amount of liquidity available for growth View full article »

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It might be late to post the old tweets but the  tweets by the economists can’t resist the lure of Valentine’s Day, I just thought of sharing as all where directed towards fed :)

@justinwolfers: You’re my long-run target; my nominal anchor.

@SFFedReserve: I’m going to extraordinary measures to increase your stimulus

@AtlantaFed: I long for you as the economy longs for its long-run maximum potential  View full article »

Takings from my last post  A Prop Trader or Rogue Trader and my past posts on the same topic The Rogue Trader or The Rogue Banks and TO BE A ROGUE TRADER would like to share few more views over them. As I reveled in the past that prop trader don’t trade on behalf of clients but they use institution own money to trade.They speculate and their focus are is emerging markets.

The two principles on which they work :

  •  You need to be dispassionate about your trade, to control your internal hurdles that may attach you to it emotionally.
  • You need to have specific knowledge of the asset you’re trading. You must have contacts in the asset’s country that can supply you with information that is open to anyone else (otherwise it’s insider trading) but that is still extremely valuable.
  • View full article »

To start with yesterday western markets tumbled and today morning Asia trading in the red. The ghost of greek debt default could wreak $1-trillion damage on euro-zone.

Stocks down, gold down, oil down, copper down, EU periphery debt down. The day is shaping up to be the worst for risk thus far in 2012.

The deal is turning on the screws, my last post on where ISDA Under criticism on GREECE indicates that Investors are under pressure to sign up to the deal, which will see them lose almost three-quarters of the value of their bonds.

Greece wants creditors who hold 90% or more of the debt to agree. If take-up falls below that but exceeds 75%, it is expected to force losses on those who do not willingly sign up, known as collective action clauses (CACs). View full article »

International Swaps and Derivatives Association is the body corporate to make over the counter (OTC) derivatives market safe and efficient.

It has 815 members from 58 countries including global, international and regional banks, asset managers, energy and commodities firms, government and supranational entities, insurers and diversified financial institutions, corporations, law firms, exchanges, clearinghouse and other service providers.

The Key areas of ISDA are
* Reducing counterparty risk
* Increasing the Transparency
* Improve the OTC operational infrastructure.

The details are provided on the ISDA Brochure

Recently ISDA came under criticism on its decision that based on current evidence the Greek bailout would not prompt payments on the (CDS)credit default swaps. View full article »

Yesterday Merkel quoted all EURO countries must contribute to fight the crisis, seems too bad all but Germany are broke, she also said that European nations will need to cede more power to EU and back to feudalism.Now the ball is in the Greece court.

A new proposal by ECB was that, ECB would tender its bonds in to Greek debt exchange and would help greek to achieve to save approx 11 billion Euros. The condition holds true is that ECB has approx 50 billion euro of Greek bonds, so that will allow Greece to have 39 billion euro of debt instead of 50 billion euro, saving approximately 11 billion euros.
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This week is going to be fun; With Greece at the end of a gun; Will they resist? And get really pissed? Please wake me up when it’s done….

In the mean time during the weekend A “source in Berlin said Germany’s proposal was aimed not just at Greece but also at other struggling euro zone members”. German Economy Minister Demands Surrender Of Greek Budget Policy, First Of Many Such requests.Roesler statement means Germany will next demand Portuguese fiscal policy hand over. Then Spanish. Then Italian ????

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* It’s a make-or-break week for Europe. They say that every week…The EU has more rescue plans than Obama has vacation days.

* If you can only be good at one thing, be good at lying… Because if you’re good at lying, you’re good at everything.

* I feel like this economy has really hit the average-looking girls the hardest.

* Others may hate you. But those who hate you don’t win unless you hate them. Then you destroy yourself.

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Press Trust of India confirmed  that “India and Iran have agreed to settle some of their $12 billion annual oil trade in rupees, resorting to the restricted currency after more than a year of payment problems in the face of fresh, tougher U.S. sanctions.”

This is with response to few weeks when the US and Europe pretended that all is well .For anyone wondering how the abandonment of the dollar reserves status would look like reference, not with a bang, but a whimper or in this case a whole series of bilateral agreements that quietly seeks to remove the US currency as an intermediate.

As it looks prominent the world’s second China and third largest Japan economies will bypass the dollar by engaging them self in the direct currency trade, and few weeks back there was a bilateral contract between China and Russia where they drop dollar as a currency and involved in direct currency trade.
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ISDA :- The International Swaps and derivative association announced that a Bankruptcy credit event has occurred in respect to Eastman Kodak Company,

The committee determined that the auction would be held with respect to outstanding transactions. ISDA Credit Report

It seems to be a mockery where I stands for ISDA I stands for Irrelevant or other even less flattering adjectives.

Which is great: apparently the default of Kodak will not lead to the end of the financial system as we know it. But we have a simply question: we would love if someone at ISDA would get back to us with the answer to the following rhetorical question:

If you analyse the benchmark Eastman Kodak 2 year bond, and which to a 2 year Greek bonds, which apparently, ISDA will never find in default. And also, why is the one found to be in a credit event trading 6 cents higher than the non-credit event one.
View full article »

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