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Tag Archive: TIME VALUE OF MONEY


Yield Curve also called Term Structure of Interest Rates for a bond issuer, the structure of yields for bonds with Woman Doing Calculationsdifferent terms to maturity (but no other differences) is called Term Structure of Interest Rates.

The relationship between and yield on a similar risk class of securities is called the Yield Curve. The relationship represents the time value of money  showing that people would demand a positive rate of return on the money they are willing to part today for a payback into the future. It also shows that a Rupee payable in the future is worth less today because of the relationship between time and money. A yield curve can be positive, neutral or flat.A positive yield curve, which is most natural, is when the slope of the curve is positive, i.e. the yield at the longer end is higher than at the shorter end of the time axis. This result as people demand higher compensation for parting their money for a longer time into the future. A neutral yield curve is that which has a zero slope, i.e. is flat across time. View full article »

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When the GDP number came out for the Indian economy grew at 5.3% in the fourth quarter of the last fiscal. Impacting the expectation of India growth story of growing more than 7%. The 10-year bond yields fell 3 basis points to 8.49% as concerns over global risk aversion lured investors towards safe-haven government debt.

In the mean time some of my friends wanted to understand the impact View full article »

The more you read write, the lesser it is. I have done number of articles on this topic as it’s a hot selling cake in moribund financial market. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index sank 1.1 percent to 1,338.35, the lowest level since February, as Greece struggled to form a new government amid mounting concern the nation may leave the euro.

Well the latest is Facebook IPO: Oversubscribed, social network set to close books – WSJ reported. View full article »

I do not know why but somebody wanted me to define some basics on Yield spreads, that whether Yield spreads can judge the risk environment in an economy ?

Yield spreads are good tools to judge the risk environment in an economy a lower yield spread means that the issuer of debt is in a situation to demand loans at a lower spread above the yield of government security which in turn shows the presence of ample liquidity.

As far as economic growth is concerned a lower yield spread indicates greater amount of liquidity available for growth View full article »

As promised with the continuation of Investor beware caveat emptor series http://wp.me/pc3rd-hz today the by laws are defined how to deal with the brokers and sub brokers.

Before making any investing call in the financial market its necessary to ensure :-

  1. Deal only with SEBI registered intermediaries.
  2. Ensure that the intermediary has a valid registration certificate.
  3. Ensure that the intermediary is permitted to transact in the market.
  4. State clearly who will be placing orders on your behalf
  5. Insist on client registration form to be signed by the intermediary before commencing operations.
  6. Enter into an agreement with your broker or sub-broker setting out terms and conditions clearly.
  7.  Insist on contract note/ confirmation memo for trades done each day
  8.  Insist on bill for every settlement.
  9.  Ensure that broker’s name, trade time and number, transaction price and brokerage are shown distinctly on the contract note.
  10.  Insist on periodical statement of accounts.
  11.  Issue cheques/drafts in trade name of the intermediary only.
  12.  Ensure receipt of payment/ deliveries within 48 hours of payout
  13.  In case of disputes, file written complaint to intermediary/ Stock Exchange/SEBI within a reasonable time. ( Don’t know how many really do this ).
  14.  In case of sub-broker disputes, inform the main broker about the dispute within 6 months.
  15.  Familiarize yourself with the rules, regulations and circulars issued by stock exchanges/SEBI before carrying out any transaction

Just wondering in real how much time the real scenario holds true rather investor pron to become easy targets and they :-
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Just wondering how many ever read the prospectus before signing the document for investments.

May be securities, Mutual funds, debt, Insurance or may be any other investment.

I already did a story long back in 2008 what to read in offer document http://wp.me/pc3rd-A

Here are some more bold points issued by SEBI (Stock exchange board of India)

In-case of Securities:-

  1.   Read the Prospectus/ Abridged Prospectus and carefully note:
  2.  Risk factors pertaining to the issue.
  3.  Outstanding litigation’s and defaults, if any.
  4.  Financials of the issuer.
  5.  Object of the issue.
  6.  Company history.
  7.  Background of promoters.
  8. View full article »

Yesterday one of my friend called me and shared his experience that he bought some shares on the advise of his agent (RM) and he cannot sell them as they are in to deep loses.
He was also having some mutual funds but they turned out to be ELSS as the 31st march is nearby.

The Term Financial planning is mis-directed, mis-guided and mis-selling lead to many such situations. I have just shared one of the case there may be many more :-

Systematic Investment Plan is an approach to investing within managed investments which involves investing a set of amount at regular intervals rather than investing a larger lump sum amount in one shot. By investing this way you are not attempting to capture the highs and lows of the market but rather the cost of your investment is averaged over a period of time. The essence of SIPs is that when the markets fall investors automatically acquire more units. Likewise they acquire lesser units when the market rises. This means that you buy less when the price is high whereas you buy more the price is low. Hence the average cost per unit drops down over a period of time.
I have suggested him to start an SIP for the following reasons learning from my prof:-

1. Understand the Power of Compounding: It looks odd to realise that the power of compounding is NOT taught well at school! They give you some simple examples – rarely are you taught the POWER! Even people working in financial services do not appreciate the power of compounding. Ignore this only at YOUR OWN PERIL.

2. Understand the Power of NOW: LEARN the power of starting to compound as soon as possible in life. If you have not understood, NO TIME LIKE TODAY..pick up the pen, call the advisor, click on the net – whateva…just start, NOW, TODAY.
3. Understand the Power of Regularity – start a SIP AND make sure you do it regularly – not missing a single month. If by chance you do miss a month of investing, immediately pick up a cheque and send it in! At the end of a YEAR you should have invested 12* Amount being invested every month. If suddenly you have money, top up the SAME account.
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1)      Paris Pasu http://wp.me/pc3rd-f

2)      RPL METHODOLOGY TO LURE THE RETAIL INVESTOR http://wp.me/pc3rd-i

3)      HDFC all set to buy CBOP http://wp.me/pc3rd-k

4)      Typical spinoff situation http://wp.me/pc3rd-l

5)      MUTUAL FUNDS SURVEY BY BUSINESSWORLD http://wp.me/pc3rd-m

6)      INDIA : THE EMERGING GIANT a book by Arvind Panagariya’s http://wp.me/pc3rd-n

7)      Process of passing the Budget http://wp.me/pc3rd-o

8)      THE ECONOMIC SURVEY 2007-08 http://wp.me/pc3rd-p

9)      Things Which appears First to me http://wp.me/pc3rd-q

10)   ICICI overseas losses mount to $264m credit exposure…http://wp.me/pc3rd-v

11)   CRITIQUE FOR THE BUDGET 2008-09 http://wp.me/pc3rd-z

12)   WHAT TO READ IN AN OFFER DOCUMENT ?? http://wp.me/pc3rd-A

13)   Sensex down 27.5% ..just in 2 months time frame http://wp.me/pc3rd-B

14)   YET AGAIN! FED CUT RATE BY 0.75%, Mayhem in markets http://wp.me/pc3rd-C

15)   CAT Bonds and CAT Swaps http://wp.me/pc3rd-D

 Today the financial media reported that Facebook Raises $1.5 Billion, Valuing Social-Network Site at $50 Billion. Already many articles and critics have provided there views on the way and practices followed to value this giant of social network, one of my fav http://aswathdamodaran.blogspot.com/2011/01/facebook-valuation.html

I would just like to quote the 10-year-old dot-com bubble, where every company wanted to have its last name “inc” “.com” and so on and then when the bubble busted all the IT stocks went for a toss.

The first shots through this bubble came from the companies themselves: many reported huge losses and some folded outright within months of their offering. Siliconaires were moving out of $4 million estates and back to the room above their parents’ garage. In the year 1999, there were 457 IPOs, most of which were internet and technology related. Of those 457 IPOs, 117 doubled in price on the first day of trading. In 2001 the number of IPOs dwindled to 76, and none of them doubled on the first day of trading.

This time the social networking sites are making the Buzz and all are lined up to get into the public domain, be it LinkedIn, Twitter, Zyenga and Facebook itself. On the other side Apple is sitting on a cash !! ( which raises the different question how much cash is more than enough ?? )

For the time being fingers crossed and Goldman Sachs will show that they have the best sales team in this world !!

The derivative instrument Interest rate future IRF is back in India after a period of 6 years .IRF was launched in the year 2003 for the first time in India, it did not took off as there was lack of liquidity and various complexities including the delivery of the product.

Last Saturday I attended the seminar at NSE, again introduction of IRFs in the Indian market. Came across various things and still could not able to digest few things because of the complexities.

The best part of IRFs is that they are deliverable at the end of maturity and the catch is IRFs will be functioning on the basis of underlying 7% Notional Government bond having a maturity of 10years.

The committee has recommended 11 Government of India Bonds having maturity not more than 10 years any of these could be delivered by the seller at the end of maturity depends upon the seller option.

At a time four contracts would be available to trade with the expiry of March, June, September and December so far only two are available they are of September and December.

The concept of Cheapest to Deliver CTD has been introduced (keeping in mind the lack of liquidity in the Indian bond market). Out of 11 bond chosen by the exchange the bond having less CTD will be delivered by the seller in the normal circumstances. Quoting the example:

 An Upward sloping yield curve and having a long maturity will be delivered by the seller (keeping in mind the reinvestment risk so it would be CTD contact)

It’s a great move in reforming the India’s Bond market having lot of potentials to outperform in the world market. In India generally the IRF are traded by the Banks, Primary dealers, financial institutions and Mutual fund. Earlier IRF where only used for the balance sheet management and Mutual funds were allowed only to hedge their risk. Thankfully they will be allowed to trade now.

The market for the derivatives on Bond world wide is much bigger comparing to the size of equities market world over. The CBOT allow to trade spreads between the two different bonds. (Say a 10 year note and 30 year bond), means we can long on one and short on the other. The product attracts lot of volume and volatility.

In India calendar spread can be traded current month and the far month. The response in the last 10 days reported by the business newspaper is not that great. Hopefully the volume will pick up but the delivery part complexities will be there so IRFs could prove out to be great Trading, Arbitrage and hedging product.

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