Recalling a chapter from Traders Guns and money Beautiful lies on sale side how derivatives are misinterpreted or mis-sold, It’s simple trying to figure out the hierarchy of the trading floor. There are Sales people – they lie to clients. Traders lie to sales and to risk managers. Risk managers ? they lie to people who run the place – a small correction they think they run the place. The people who run the place lie to shareholders and regulators 🙂
Few days back I did Derivatives derivatives so many, resembles outstanding derivatives with the top 5 banks of the world, here is some basic background for my non financial market friends about derivatives. Continue reading “Why Derivatives are so Hot”
It’s always difficult to post the latest event and findings, just to put it in prospective. Is there anything in the Indian papers worth reading today? Or shall wait 4 the outrage to surface it?
Sharing two of the contrary indicators and psychology of Efficient Market Hypothesis and Black Swan that I have taken from the reformed broker and Hedgeye blog.
Sometimes it can be the Black duck
“The trouble with the Recency Effect is that everyone all of a sudden thought they were Nassim Taleb, ornithological experts on the spotting of Black Swans. Every blip on the screen or blurb in the newspaper was fresh evidence of the next hundred years’ storm. Forget being fooled by randomness, people have become obsessed with randomness. Continue reading “Efficient Market Hypothesis or the Black Ducks”
Two important events happened in November 2013. First, the Fed released its latest stress test definitions, to be used as the basis of the Comprehensive Capital and Analysis Review (CCAR) report, due in March 2014. Second, Thor returned to cinema screens in the action sequel, ‘The Dark World.’ So, why are these two things collectively important?
While seemingly unrelated, Thor is actually a remarkable and timely metaphor for modern regulatory practice: protect the system first, the system’s participants second, and remember to carry a big hammer.
To understand the connection, it is important to explore what Thor represents. Continue reading “Regulation with a Clap of Thunder and a Massive Hammer”
Prof Aswath damodaran is an authority on Corporate Finance, sharing his latest post where he defines why we should welcome the Uncertainty. If you can value companies early in the life cycle, you cannot do so with any degree of confidence. I concede that point, but that is exactly why I would try to value them!
I know that statement makes little sense, but to solidify my argument, take a look at the following list of five assets/entities and rank them on the basis of the confidence you will feel in valuing each one. Continue reading “Welcome the Uncertainty”
Equity markets (specifically the market for large capitalization stocks) seem to be very different from other markets in that they are the only markets that are unconditionally liquid. The Basel Committee has officially recognized this – in their classification of 24 markets by liquidity horizons, the large cap equity market is the only market in the most liquid bucket. (Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, Fundamental review of the trading book: A revised market risk framework, Second Consultative Document, October 2013, Table 2, page 16)
There is abundant anecdotal evidence for the greater liquidity of large cap equity markets in stressed conditions – you may not like the price but you would not have any occasion to complain about the volume. For example, in India when the fraud in Satyam was revealed, Continue reading “How different are Equity Markets”