Analyzing and reading the experts view on the current situation of Deutsche Bank to that of Lehman Brothers in 2008. Many of them are emphasizing and argue that 2008 is back.
I will argue that the current situation is the iconic milestone of the clear END of the 2008 crisis. Here is my argument:
What was the Lehman Crisis about? In September 2008, we were facing an under-regulated banking sector and fears of rising interest rates (due to presumed inflation generated by USD 140 oil prices).
What is the current Deutsche Moment about? In September 2016, we are facing an over-regulated banking sector (the US Department of Justice throwing an USD 14bn fine at Deutsche Bank) and fears of never rising quasi-zero (in Germany even negative) interest rates. Continue reading “Is the 2008 Lehman Moment Back ?”
Recalling 4 years back , the world’s largest banks have been up in arms over threats by regulators to increase their (equity) capital requirements. Making banks hold more capital, they argue, will force them to reduce lending and will increase their cost of funding, making credit more expensive throughout the economy. One of the chief defenders of the mega banks has been Josef Ackermann, CEO of Deutsche Bank until last year and also chair of the Institute of International Finance, which claimed that higher capital requirements would reduce economic output by a whopping 3.2 percent.
Was going through the new book by Anat Admati and Martin Hellwig The Banker’s New Clothes they have been tirelessly debunking the myth that higher capital levels will force banks to curtail lending and torpedo the global economy,. Some of the arguments against higher capital requirements are simply incoherent, like the idea that banks would be forced to set aside capital instead of lending it. Continue reading “The Definition for Cost of Capital and The Banks”
Recall the financial crisis in 2008 and the first thing that will knock the head will be structured finance deals. In the last posts we have tried to put on the explanations to these structured product.
The financial media reported “At the end of last year we started to see a surge in CLO [collateralized loan obligation] issuance, and now we are going to start to see a surge in CDO issuance. These are the same instruments Continue reading “Are CLOs, CDOs returning Back !! Déjà vu 2004”