In his first official act as the new governor of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), Raghuram Rajan raised the benchmark interest rate from 7.25 to 7.5%, causing a ripple of surprise in financial circles and eliciting protests from various business representatives. But for people who know the current condition of emerging markets and Rajan’s professional trajectory, this was not surprising, at all.
Rajan has no qualms about staging such challenges. In 2005, Rajan was chief economist of the International Monetary Fund and attended the top central bankers’ get together in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, to present a paper on how the financial sector had evolved during Alan Greenspan’s era. As Rajan later described the meeting, which was to be Greenspan’s last, in his book Fault Lines: “Some of the papers in the conference, in keeping with the Greenspan-era theme, focused on whether Alan Greenspan was the best central banker in history, or just among the best.” Continue reading “Hello World !! It would be wise to listen to Raghuram Rajan”
Reading between the lines from the Bank of Italy , Back to 2012 in the month of July Mario Draghi, on the verge of yet another Eurozone collapse, promised the world that he would do literally “whatever it takes” to defend the Euro, banks in the insolvent continent took his promise seriously, and ramped up their participation in the most epic Ponzi scheme conceived in Europe to a whole new level. The scheme, of course, was one where banks would buy sovereign bonds issued by their host country (most notably Spain and Italy), and subsequently repo them back to the ECB for near full cash (net of a minuscule haircut) collateral.
The IMF also published a crucial paragraph doing the spillover analysis indicates that a shock from Italy could have a marked impact on the Europe and beyond through trade and financials channels. Continue reading “Italy all over the Europe – It’s a Déjà vu Feeling for Mario Draghi”
NEW HAVEN – The global economy could be in the early stages of another crisis. Once again, the US Federal Reserve is in the eye of the storm.
As the Fed attempts to exit from so-called quantitative easing (QE) – its unprecedented policy of massive purchases of long-term assets – many high-flying emerging economies suddenly find themselves in a vise. Currency and stock markets in India and Indonesia are plunging, with collateral damage evident in Brazil, South Africa, and Turkey.
The Fed insists that it is blameless – the same absurd position that it took in the aftermath of the Great Crisis of 2008-2009, when it maintained that its excessive monetary accommodation had nothing to do with the property and credit bubbles that nearly pushed the world into the abyss. Continue reading “The Next Global Crisis could be in Formation”
The rupee is getting weaker against the dollar and RBI did intervene in the market, Perhaps a better gauge would the tanking of the $INR from 54 to 61. I would attribute the wealth lost in that fall entirely to UPA & Pranab Da.
It is not end of the world or the INR. Just a part of the process by which markets discover price & force policy makers 2 revert 2 virtue.RBI should note that those Industrialists crying about the $INR are precisely those who add no local value but enjoy a protected market.
In the mean time just thought of sharing some basics from RBI : – Continue reading “How well you know about Money RBI : Central bank Termonologies”
Many have said that not all is not solved in the Euro-Zone. In fact, despite the ongoing rhetoric from the ECB that they stand ready to “do anything,” in reality they have done little to this point other than just talk the markets higher. While that has worked to a large degree to suppress rising interest rates on debt burdened Euro-Zone countries there has been no progress on the“unification” of the Euro-Zone or a resolution to its mounting debt problems.
Three Problems That Still Exist
There are still three major problems with the Euro-zone that, without fixing, will lead to the next chapter in the ongoing Euro-zone saga. Continue reading “Is The Eurozone Crisis Over”